Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002672 0.002857 0.003057 0.003289 0.003554 0.003849 0.004206
2024-10-20 0.002312 0.002547 0.002814 0.003144 0.003549 0.004037 0.004686
2024-10-27 0.002124 0.002394 0.002714 0.003131 0.003673 0.004377 0.005406
2024-11-03 0.001896 0.002165 0.002492 0.002929 0.003521 0.004327 0.005585
2024-11-10 0.001812 0.002101 0.002462 0.002963 0.003673 0.004705 0.006467
2024-11-17 0.001753 0.002060 0.002454 0.003020 0.003861 0.005161 0.007616
2024-11-24 0.001673 0.001985 0.002394 0.002995 0.003918 0.005422 0.008511
2024-12-01 0.001635 0.001961 0.002397 0.003059 0.004119 0.005959 0.010197
2024-12-08 0.001577 0.001906 0.002353 0.003046 0.004191 0.006281 0.011584
2024-12-15 0.001512 0.001839 0.002287 0.002992 0.004185 0.006450 0.012683
2024-12-22 0.001489 0.001826 0.002297 0.003057 0.004394 0.007102 0.015751
2024-12-29 0.001464 0.001810 0.002301 0.003111 0.004590 0.007788 0.019859
2025-01-05 0.001414 0.001758 0.002251 0.003078 0.004631 0.008163 0.023582
2025-01-12 0.001346 0.001677 0.002154 0.002962 0.004494 0.008062 0.024803
2025-01-19 0.001310 0.001641 0.002124 0.002955 0.004578 0.008576 0.031385
2025-01-26 0.001235 0.001545 0.001998 0.002774 0.004284 0.007965 0.028243
2025-02-02 0.001214 0.001529 0.001994 0.002806 0.004437 0.008695 0.039426
2025-02-09 0.001200 0.001521 0.002001 0.002858 0.004645 0.009695 0.065005
2025-02-16 0.001170 0.001488 0.001968 0.002835 0.004680 0.010149 0.093773
2025-02-23 0.001159 0.001484 0.001979 0.002893 0.004914 0.011472 0.300934
2025-03-02 0.001135 0.001458 0.001955 0.002881 0.004978 0.012176 2.330844
2025-03-09 0.001105 0.001422 0.001912 0.002832 0.004940 0.012425 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001096 0.001419 0.001924 0.002891 0.005192 0.014261 NaN